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We show that excess returns to the carry trade can be interpreted as compensation for foreign exchange dealers' capital risk. Given that the top market makers in foreign exchange are at the heart of the market's information aggregation process we also suggest that it is their marginal value of wealth which prices foreign currencies. Consistent with this hypothesis the empirical results show that shocks to the equity capital ratios of the top three foreign exchange dealers have explanatory power for the cross-sectional variation in expected currency market returns, while those of the average dealer provide no substantial additional information.
Nákup knihy
Foreign exchange dealer asset pricing, Stefan Reitz
- Jazyk
- Rok vydania
- 2019
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- Titul
- Foreign exchange dealer asset pricing
- Jazyk
- anglicky
- Autori
- Stefan Reitz
- Vydavateľ
- Deutsche Bundesbank
- Rok vydania
- 2019
- ISBN10
- 3957296366
- ISBN13
- 9783957296368
- Kategórie
- Podnikanie a ekonómia
- Anotácia
- We show that excess returns to the carry trade can be interpreted as compensation for foreign exchange dealers' capital risk. Given that the top market makers in foreign exchange are at the heart of the market's information aggregation process we also suggest that it is their marginal value of wealth which prices foreign currencies. Consistent with this hypothesis the empirical results show that shocks to the equity capital ratios of the top three foreign exchange dealers have explanatory power for the cross-sectional variation in expected currency market returns, while those of the average dealer provide no substantial additional information.