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The Signal and the Noise. Why so many predictions fail - but some don't

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Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

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The Signal and the Noise. Why so many predictions fail - but some don't, Nate Silver

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2012
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